Here we go. Time to nail my colours to the mast and guess forecast what this year has in store. I’ve noticed two major temptations when doing this: a) to predict something ‘interesting’ or unexpected because it’s fun and the converse b) to assume everything remains basically the same. The truth is inevitably the messy place in between. This time I have 10 predictions, 7 economic and 3 political. My outlook is that overall the UK economy will weaken further making it harder to cut the budget deficit and requiring yet more stimulus bt the Bank of England. In politics, I predict a worsening of the position of Labour relative to the Conservatives. We shall see!